Traders at the NYSE, March 8, 2022.
Stock futures were mixed Tuesday evening as investors continued to assess a surge in commodity prices and high inflation while the war in Ukraine continues.
Futures tied to the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 47 points, or 0.1%. S&P 500 futures were flat and Nasdaq 100 futures lost 0.1%.
The major averages all closed lower after a day of choppy trading. The Dow gave up a 585-point gain to end the day lower by 184 points, or 0.5%, falling deeper into its correction. The S&P 500 slid 0.7%, also moving into correction territory. The Nasdaq Composite lost 0.2%, after entering bear market territory Monday.
The market volatility was driven by uncertainty among investors as they continued to assess surging prices in commodities like oil, gasoline, natural gas and precious metals. That fueled concerns about a slowdown in global growth amid surging inflation.
It remains to be seen if the Federal Reserve will manage a soft economic landing, but the U.S. should be able to avoid a recession, according to Ross Mayfield, investment strategy analyst at Baird.
“The strength of the U.S. labor market, consumer and aggregate corporate sector should act as the weight to keep us out of recession near-term,” he told CNBC. “Overall, volatility is likely to persist, [there’s a] wide range of outcomes possible in Ukraine, but the fundamentals of the U.S. economy still look decent, especially if the Fed can navigate raising rates without breaking demand.”
Energy stocks were a bright spot in the market as oil prices continued to climb, jumping to their highs of the session as President Joe Biden announced a ban on Russian fossil imports, including oil, in response to the country’s invasion of Ukraine. That was after oil hit a 13-year high of $130 to start the week.
Other commodity prices resumed their push higher, including nickel, which touched a new record above $100,000 a metric ton.
Treasury yields also spiked, with the benchmark 10-year note adding close to 10 basis points to 1.85%, as inflation fears led investors to shed bonds.
Earnings continue Wednesday with Campbell Soup, Crowdstrike and Marqeta all set to report.
On the economic data front, investors are looking forward to homebuying data from the Mortgage Bankers Association as well as the job openings and labor turnover survey, or JOLTS.